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AI clinical

AI outperforms clinicians in triaging post-operative patients for ICUe.

Artificial intelligence correctly triaged 41 of the 50 patients in the study (82%). Surgeons had an accuracy triage rate of 70% (35 patients), intensivists 64% (32 patients), and anaesthesiologists 58% (29 patients). The number of incorrect triage decisions was lowest for AI (18%), followed by 30% for surgeons, 36% for intensivists, and 42% for anaesthesiologists.

Editor’s pick, (2019). AI outperforms clinicians in triaging post-operative patients for ICUe. Medical brief.

These are the kinds of contexts where we’ll increasingly see the use of machine learning algorithms to “provide guidance” to clinicians: high stakes decision-making scenarios where the correct outcome relies on the integration of data from a wide variety of clinical domains that are not optimised for human cognition. It’s just not possible for a human being – or team of human beings – to track the high number of relevant and inter-related variables that influence these kinds of clinical outcomes.

The resulting algorithm included 87 clinical variables and 15 specific criteria related to admission to the ICU within 48 hours of surgery.

Categories
AI clinical

WCPT poster: Introduction to machine learning in healthcare

It’s a bit content-heavy and not as graphic-y as I’d like but c’est la vie.

I’m quite proud of what I think is a novel innovation in poster design; the addition of the tl;dr column before the findings. In other words, if you only have 30 seconds to look at the poster then that’s the bit you want to focus on. Related to this, I’ve also moved the Background, Methods and Conclusion sections to the bottom and made them smaller so as to emphasise the Findings, which are placed first.

Here is the tl;dr version. Or, my poster in 8 tweets:

  • Aim: The aim of the study was to identify the ways in which machine learning algorithms are being used across the health sector that may impact physiotherapy practice.
  • Image recognition: Millions of patient scans can be analysed in seconds, and diagnoses made by non-specialists via mobile phones, with lower rates of error than humans are capable of.
  • Video analysis: Constant video surveillance of patients will alert providers of those at risk of falling, as well as make early diagnoses of movement-related disorders.
  • Natural language processing: Unstructured, freeform clinical notes will be converted into structured data that can be analysed, leading to increased accuracy in data capture and diagnosis.
  • Robotics: Autonomous robots will assist with physical tasks like patient transportation and possibly even take over manual therapy tasks from clinicians.
  • Expert systems: Knowing things about conditions will become less important than knowing when to trust outputs from clinical decision support systems.
  • Prediction: Clinicians should learn how to integrate the predictions of machine learning algorithms with human values in order to make better clinical decisions in partnership with AI-based systems.
  • Conclusion: The challenge we face is to bring together computers and humans in ways that enhance human well-being, augment human ability and expand human capacity.
My full-size poster on machine learning in healthcare for the 2019 WCPT conference in Geneva.

Reference list (download this list as a Word document)

  1. Yang, C. C., & Veltri, P. (2015). Intelligent healthcare informatics in big data era. Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, 65(2), 75–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artmed.2015.08.002
  2. Qayyum, A., Anwar, S. M., Awais, M., & Majid, M. (2017). Medical image retrieval using deep convolutional neural network. Neurocomputing, 266, 8–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2017.05.025
  3. Li, Z., Zhang, X., Müller, H., & Zhang, S. (2018). Large-scale retrieval for medical image analytics: A comprehensive review. Medical Image Analysis, 43, 66–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.media.2017.09.007
  4. Esteva, A., Kuprel, B., Novoa, R. A., Ko, J., Swetter, S. M., Blau, H. M., & Thrun, S. (2017). Dermatologist-level classification of skin cancer with deep neural networks. Nature, 542(7639), 115–118. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature21056
  5. Pratt, H., Coenen, F., Broadbent, D. M., Harding, S. P., & Zheng, Y. (2016). Convolutional Neural Networks for Diabetic Retinopathy. Procedia Computer Science, 90, 200–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2016.07.014
  6. Ramzan, M., Shafique, A., Kashif, M., & Umer, M. (2017). Gait Identification using Neural Network. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 8(9). https://doi.org/10.14569/IJACSA.2017.080909
  7. Kidziński, Ł., Delp, S., & Schwartz, M. (2019). Automatic real-time gait event detection in children using deep neural networks. PLOS ONE, 14(1), e0211466. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211466
  8. Horst, F., Lapuschkin, S., Samek, W., Müller, K.-R., & Schöllhorn, W. I. (2019). Explaining the Unique Nature of Individual Gait Patterns with Deep Learning. Scientific Reports, 9(1), 2391. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38748-8
  9. Cai, T., Giannopoulos, A. A., Yu, S., Kelil, T., Ripley, B., Kumamaru, K. K., … Mitsouras, D. (2016). Natural Language Processing Technologies in Radiology Research and Clinical Applications. RadioGraphics, 36(1), 176–191. https://doi.org/10.1148/rg.2016150080
  10. Jackson, R. G., Patel, R., Jayatilleke, N., Kolliakou, A., Ball, M., Gorrell, G., … Stewart, R. (2017). Natural language processing to extract symptoms of severe mental illness from clinical text: The Clinical Record Interactive Search Comprehensive Data Extraction (CRIS-CODE) project. BMJ Open, 7(1), e012012. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2016-012012
  11. Kreimeyer, K., Foster, M., Pandey, A., Arya, N., Halford, G., Jones, S. F., … Botsis, T. (2017). Natural language processing systems for capturing and standardizing unstructured clinical information: A systematic review. Journal of Biomedical Informatics, 73, 14–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2017.07.012
  12. Montenegro, J. L. Z., Da Costa, C. A., & Righi, R. da R. (2019). Survey of Conversational Agents in Health. Expert Systems with Applications. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2019.03.054
  13. Carrell, D. S., Schoen, R. E., Leffler, D. A., Morris, M., Rose, S., Baer, A., … Mehrotra, A. (2017). Challenges in adapting existing clinical natural language processing systems to multiple, diverse health care settings. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association, 24(5), 986–991. https://doi.org/10.1093/jamia/ocx039
  14. Oña, E. D., Cano-de la Cuerda, R., Sánchez-Herrera, P., Balaguer, C., & Jardón, A. (2018). A Review of Robotics in Neurorehabilitation: Towards an Automated Process for Upper Limb. Journal of Healthcare Engineering, 2018, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/9758939
  15. Krebs, H. I., & Volpe, B. T. (2015). Robotics: A Rehabilitation Modality. Current Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Reports, 3(4), 243–247. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40141-015-0101-6
  16. Leng, M., Liu, P., Zhang, P., Hu, M., Zhou, H., Li, G., … Chen, L. (2019). Pet robot intervention for people with dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Psychiatry Research, 271, 516–525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psychres.2018.12.032
  17. Jennifer Piatt, P., Shinichi Nagata, M. S., Selma Šabanović, P., Wan-Ling Cheng, M. S., Casey Bennett, P., Hee Rin Lee, M. S., & David Hakken, P. (2017). Companionship with a robot? Therapists’ perspectives on socially assistive robots as therapeutic interventions in community mental health for older adults. American Journal of Recreation Therapy, 15(4), 29–39. https://doi.org/10.5055/ajrt.2016.0117
  18. Troccaz, J., Dagnino, G., & Yang, G.-Z. (2019). Frontiers of Medical Robotics: From Concept to Systems to Clinical Translation. Annual Review of Biomedical Engineering, 21(1). https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-bioeng-060418-052502
  19. Riek, L. D. (2017). Healthcare Robotics. ArXiv:1704.03931 [Cs]. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1704.03931
  20. Kappassov, Z., Corrales, J.-A., & Perdereau, V. (2015). Tactile sensing in dexterous robot hands — Review. Robotics and Autonomous Systems, 74, 195–220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.robot.2015.07.015
  21. Choi, C., Schwarting, W., DelPreto, J., & Rus, D. (2018). Learning Object Grasping for Soft Robot Hands. IEEE Robotics and Automation Letters, 3(3), 2370–2377. https://doi.org/10.1109/LRA.2018.2810544
  22. Shortliffe, E., & Sepulveda, M. (2018). Clinical Decision Support in the Era of Artificial Intelligence. Journal of the American Medical Association.
  23. Attema, T., Mancini, E., Spini, G., Abspoel, M., de Gier, J., Fehr, S., … Sloot, P. M. A. (n.d.). A new approach to privacy-preserving clinical decision support systems. 15.
  24. Castaneda, C., Nalley, K., Mannion, C., Bhattacharyya, P., Blake, P., Pecora, A., … Suh, K. S. (2015). Clinical decision support systems for improving diagnostic accuracy and achieving precision medicine. Journal of Clinical Bioinformatics, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13336-015-0019-3
  25. Gianfrancesco, M. A., Tamang, S., Yazdany, J., & Schmajuk, G. (2018). Potential Biases in Machine Learning Algorithms Using Electronic Health Record Data. JAMA Internal Medicine, 178(11), 1544. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.3763
  26. Kliegr, T., Bahník, Š., & Fürnkranz, J. (2018). A review of possible effects of cognitive biases on interpretation of rule-based machine learning models. ArXiv:1804.02969 [Cs, Stat]. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1804.02969
  27. Weng, S. F., Reps, J., Kai, J., Garibaldi, J. M., & Qureshi, N. (2017). Can machine-learning improve cardiovascular risk prediction using routine clinical data? PLOS ONE, 12(4), e0174944. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0174944
  28. Suresh, H., Hunt, N., Johnson, A., Celi, L. A., Szolovits, P., & Ghassemi, M. (2017). Clinical Intervention Prediction and Understanding using Deep Networks. ArXiv:1705.08498 [Cs]. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1705.08498
  29. Vayena, E., Blasimme, A., & Cohen, I. G. (2018). Machine learning in medicine: Addressing ethical challenges. PLOS Medicine, 15(11), e1002689. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002689
  30. Verghese, A., Shah, N. H., & Harrington, R. A. (2018). What This Computer Needs Is a Physician: Humanism and Artificial Intelligence. JAMA, 319(1), 19. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2017.19198
Categories
AI clinical

Giving algorithms a sense of uncertainty could make them more ethical

The algorithm could handle this uncertainty by computing multiple solutions and then giving humans a menu of options with their associated trade-offs. Say the AI system was meant to help make medical decisions. Instead of recommending one treatment over another, it could present three possible options: one for maximizing patient life span, another for minimizing patient suffering, and a third for minimizing cost. “Have the system be explicitly unsure and hand the dilemma back to the humans.”

Hao, K. (2019). Giving algorithms a sense of uncertainty could make them more ethical. MIT Technology Review.

I think about clinical reasoning like this; it’s what we call the kind of probabilistic thinking where we take a bunch of – sometimes contradictory – data and try to make a decision that can have varying levels of confidence. For example, “If A, then probably D. But if A and B, then unlikely to be D. If C, then definitely not D”. Algorithms (and novice clinicians) are quite poor at this kind of reasoning, which is why they’ve traditionally not been used for clinical decision-making and ethical reasoning (and why novice clinicians tend not to handle clinical uncertainty very well). But if it turns out that machine learning algorithms are able to manage conditions of uncertainty and provide a range of options that humans can act on, given a wide variety of preferences and contexts, it may be that machines will be one step closer to doing our reasoning for us.